Declining emissions in the U.S. and Europe are being offset by rapid growth in India and other middle-wealth countries.
UNITED NATIONS – Global carbon emissions are expected to jump by 2.7 percent in 2018, up from 1.6 percent a year ago. Those findings, published by scientists on five continents this week, reveal the difficulty of capping global emissions to avert the worst affects of global warming.
The development of oil and gas resources continues to drive the increase in emissions, even as more and more renewable energy projects come online.
Oil use, once thought to have leveled off, keeps on rising, as global car sales keep climbing and air travel sends more oil-burning planes into the skies.
And while overall coal energy growth has begun to dip, certain major economies like India are rapidly scaling up their reliance on coal to the tune of 5 percent annual growth in recent years.
Now that they’ve been turned on, those dirty power plants will likely run for decades, making it difficult to forecast when the planet will finally reach peak emissions.
The emissions outlook for 2019 offers more of the same bad news. Barring a major global recession that dramatically curbs economic growth, carbon emissions will rise by between 3.1 and 3.9 percent next year.